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Why we like him
Navarro's selling point this week is matchup leverage, he faces an Austin side that has been leaky all season, conceding 32 goals in 16 matches, which hands a clear scoring window to a home Rapids forward at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. That theoretical upside is already showing up in the box score: he has eight goals and about 8.7 expected goals on the campaign, and he is a true minutes asset. Five appearances in the last 5 game weeks and 15 appearances in the last 15 game weeks while averaging full 90s. So his floor is higher than a typical boom-or-bust differential. Paxten Aaronson remains the primary creator for Colorado, which increases the probability Navarro gets high-quality looks, so treat him as a Start in your Starting XI for ceiling-chasing lineups while recognizing model confidence is medium and some variance is likely.