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Why we like him
If you prize dependable minutes, Baumgartl is your guy. He has started every one of St. Louis City’s MLS matches this season and has been playing the full 90 regularly, which gives him a high floor for defensive fantasy points. He has five appearances in the last 5 game weeks and 15 appearances in the last 15 game weeks, and his one goal this season gives him a modest ceiling on set pieces. St. Louis host Real Salt Lake at Energizer Park, and while RSL concede roughly 1.5 goals per game this campaign, St. Louis’s strong recent form makes a clean sheet a plausible outcome, so Baumgartl profiles as a safe start with upside if the hosts control the game. The Sorare Edge projection of 75.4 points and medium model confidence match that profile, but treat the ceiling as conditional on a team clean sheet or set-piece chance rather than a must-have attacking explosion.